Prix de L’Arc de Triomphe

Prix de L’Arc de Triomphe

 TIMEFORM
141 Enable 139 Ghaiyyath 137 Magical 136p Japan 136 Waldgeist 134 Fierement 132 Sottsass

 FSFs

136 Enable 133 Ghaiyyath 131 Waldgeist 130 Japan 132 Magical 127 Fierement 129 Sottsass

It appears to me to the pace will come from Soft Light in stall six and Ghaiyyath in stall twelve. This may lead to Mr Dettori racing handily just off the pace from stall nine. Meanwhile Sottsass, Waldgeist, Fierement, and Blast Onepiece, who are all hold-up performers needing to break well to gain a racing position. They may indeed have to be ridden for luck from off the pace. Given Enable’s ability to race almost anywhere and still win, one imagines she will have a trouble-free run if things pan out as I believe. Of her opponents, one can pick holes in Japan’s form. Whilst successful in Paris earlier in the year, that form is nothing to get excited about. He beat Crystal Spirit, who by my reckoning ran 7lb below his best, in the Juddmonte. In third and fourth places, came horses that have been well beaten in subsequent starts. On the plus side, Japan has improved through 2019 leaving the impression there is more to come. Sottsass burst onto the scene when taking the Prix Du Jockey Club. It transpired the favourite Persian King, who finished second, was injured in the race and unable to race again this season. The third home has not run since the fourth is one of the lesser lights at Ballydoyle, while the fifth has improved to run second to Headman and fourth to Japan. Sottsass was able to use his turn of foot in the Prix Niel. In second came a Listed winner while Ballydoyle provided a Group Three winner in third. Incidentally, the second horse was beaten a similar distance by John Gosden’s Terebellum. She is rated 21lb below Enable by the UK official handicapper! Ghaiyyath was impressive when taking a Group One in Germany. However, he appears best when fresh from a lengthy break. In addition, it is worth noting Waldgeist beat him here in April. Whilst that came over ten-furlongs, both horses hold their best FSFs over a mile and half. Waldgeist is a likeable and talented performer. He is however considered best on good ground and connections have their fingers crossed for two dry days. Of the Japanese horses, my personal form figures have Blast Onepiece just clear of Fierement. Enable’s 2019 FSF is 1lb below her best achieved in 2017. That should silence those who feel she may not be as good as she was. With luck in running, I expect her to win. Sottsass’s turn of foot along with Japan’s tenacity may see them coming out of the pack on the run to the glory line.

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